Wednesday, 17 June 2015

Royal Ascot Day 2 17th June 2015

Royal Ascot Day 2

I have a less in depth analysis of day 2 but hopefully rewarding.

2:30
JERSEY STAKES (GROUP 3) (CLASS 1) (3yo) Winner £42,533 16 runners 7f 

The Jersey Stakes is a good trappy little contest to open up with 

Ivawood is a deserved Fav but as little as 6/4 does not fill me with much expectation (and he is heavy) however there are a number of others at big prices who can win this.

Dutch Connection does interest me he ran an excellent 2000 Guineas, he ran an excellent race for 90% of it but did not have the legs to get home in the final half a furlong Today's trip is only 7F which i think should suit him. In with a real shout at 12/1

Bossy Guest also ran an excellent Guineas and only 3 Lengths down on Gleneagles a run full of promise and improvement would see him there or thereabouts, he is 9/1.

Mister Universe is so overpriced in this at 25/1 and is a useful player in here and could easily place if not better has ability that we saw 2 weeks ago he may be up for this one 

Others are Sir Issac Newton and Hathal could well play a part 

Its Dutch Connection for me and Mister Universe to cause an upset although if Ivawood gets going he will be difficult to peg back 

3:05
QUEEN MARY STAKES (GROUP 2) (FILLIES) (CLASS 1) (2yo) Winner £56,710 23 runners 5f Good

This is not a race to go big in but a couple that can win this 
Mark Johnston again can do some damage with Deliza who won a Class 1 at York and beat several rivals in this field by some distance and at 10/1 is good value and where my money would be going.
New Road Side would be another to cask an eye over and see at 25/1 the Irish raider has improving form and a big shout 
Lets leave this race there 

Rizeena looks to be the one here however the reappearance was disappointing however the ground was not right that day but should be just how she likes it and is a bit of value at 6/1 there are plenty of challengers the Stoute pair for example but i hope Rizeena holds her way.

Not an easy one to predict but lets go for an upset and Rizeena to bring home the Bacon 

4:20
PRINCE OF WALES´S STAKES (BRITISH CHAMPIONS SERIES) (GROUP 1) (CLASS 1) (4yo+) Winner £297,728 10 runners 1m2f Good CH4

This gets no easier Free Eagle has a great chance in this and Dermot Weld has run him here before and will prefer today's ground - has every chance but at 3/1 the value maybe elsewhere
I do not know much about the French raider Ectot however its The Grey Gatsby that interests me more, Kevin Ryan should have him ready for this - Jamie Spencer takes the ride which is odd as Moore rides for Stoute which puts me a little uneasy in the race however the Spencer mount has the winning in this one.

Its going to be a close one with Western Hymn and The Coriscan in with a big shout at big prices as they have done nothing wrong. 



5:00
ROYAL HUNT CUP (HERITAGE HANDICAP) (CLASS 2) (3yo+) Winner £108,938 30 runners 1mGood CH4
Good Luck !!!!!

30 horse race oh boy try pick a winner !!!

Go for low stall gates or high stall gates (4 of the last 5 winners) there is a trend for this bottom 10 or top 10 the middle does not win this so

The Contenders

Chill the Kite drawn 10 and is a useful player here and good Ascot form 16/1
Gabriel drawn 30 - Fahey very lovable 6 yr old very consistent and can mix it at this level 25/1
Lincoln drawn 22 - ran a cracker on the last run at Ascot and can play a big part here 20/1
Your Fired drawn 25 - ran a stormer at York so the straight mile may not suit but if does then has the beating of this lot 16/1

I expect a big price winner so i will go Lincoln at 20/1  


5:35
SANDRINGHAM HANDICAP (LISTED RACE) (FILLIES) (CLASS 1) (3yo 0-110) Winner £39,697 17 runners 1m Good CH4
At least this tricky puzzle has less horses

Not a race i want to punt on as its bloody hard !!!!

Jellicle Bell will be popular and rightly so with Moore doing the driving and Gosden the trainer he should be there and at 10/1 does represent value however i do like Fahey trained Realtra at 20/1 to run a good one, he beat a number of Rivals at York and ran Ok at Epsom without holding all the cards
Big player here and goes better against her own Gender.

Watch also Touchline (8/1) for a royal winner and Tazffin (20/1) a big priced Varian player in this.

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